Since
this is the third
time we've done this article, most of you already know the drill: This is not
a list of the most popular certifications out there (otherwise, Microsoft's
MCP title would win every time). Think of this more like Billboard Magazine's
Hot 100 Singles chart, which doesn't look at the overall popularity for a song,
but the number of positions a song rises on the charts in a given time period.
That's what we're trying to predict here -- the fastest-growing certifications
for 2004.
To create the list, we start with our annual reader survey. For each of approximately
70 certifications, we compare the number of you who hold each title with those
who say that you're going to get it within the next 12 months. For those that
show a positive growth, we score the difference on a 1 to 20 scale (20 being
best). We use this as a reader interest score.
Next comes the buzz score: What are people saying about particular certs? What
recognition have these titles received recently? What do our contributing editors
and columnists think of these credentials? After combing the Web and talking
with the experts, we award each certification a buzz score of 1 to 10 (10 being
best). Add the reader interest and buzz scores together and our top picks for
the hottest certifications of 2004 emerge.
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A few things before we start:
- You may notice that a few favorites have fallen off this year's list. The
absence of a certification that was present in a previous year doesn't mean
that title is any less valuable. Usually, it simply means most of you followed
up on your pledge to get that certification over the past year, making it
harder for the title to get same reader interest score.
- We're not perfect. While we base these scores on actual research, there's
also some semi-intelligent guesswork involved. Take the list for what you
think it's worth and be sure to share your picks at the end of this article.
- Although many of you did seem to bookmark this over the past few years,
we're still getting requests, so once again, go here
for information about RHCE testing in India.
With that out of the way, here are our picks for the 10 hottest certifications
for 2004:
#10: Project Management Professional (PMP)
Vendor: Project
Management Institute
Reader Interest Score (out of 20): 9
Buzz Score (out of 10): 8
Total: 17
We were pleasantly surprised to see this unique title make the cut. While PMP
has always had an excellent reputation (thus the high buzz score), it's often
hard for established certifications to enter this list, and PMP is nothing if
not established, with a history dating back to 1984. PMP is also difficult to
achieve, requiring candidates to meet stringent education and experience requirements
before attempting its challenging exam.
More significantly, it's not an IT-specific credential -- project professionals
from all industries pursue the PMP. And it's exactly this distinction that seems
to make it so appealing for 2004. We all know the current reality of IT job
hunting: Employers are demanding more than just tech skills, causing IT professionals
to seek ways to document their business savvy. PMP appears to be an excellent
choice to meet that need, offering proof of a truly useful "soft skill."
As Contributing Editor Kevin Kohut explained, "Talent is easy to find these
days...Organizing that talent and managing the budget is a whole different story."
"In today's mixed IT shops," he continued, "without good project
management skills you're tweaking buttons, not working with the entire system
to find a cohesive solution."
#9: Microsoft Certified Database Administrator (MCDBA)
Vendor: Microsoft
Reader Interest Score: 14
Buzz: 4
Total: 18
While you still don't hear much about this Microsoft certification, among people
in the know the buzz continues to grow.
One factor is the increasing use of SQL Server in unexpected places, said Damir
Bersinic, CertCities.com contributing editor and database columnist. "Even
Oracle shops that generally shied away from Microsoft SQL Server are finding
that some of Microsoft's products, as well as those of third parties, are using
SQL Server or Microsoft SQL Server Desktop Engine (MSDE) on the back end,"
he explained. "This means that even Oracle shops need someone with Microsoft
certification."
"Microsoft SQL server continues to grow in its install base, and DBAs
are needed everywhere," agreed Contributing Editor Andy Barkl, who also
pointed out that the MCDBA is appealing for MCSE candidates because "the
MCDBA can be achieved while working on a standard MCSE certification."
CertCities.com columnist Don Jones also sees the MCSE connection: "I'm
surprised [Microsoft] hasn't re-branded this as 'MCSE: Database Administration'
to fit the other new titles they've released; certainly, the exams indicate
that this is an administration-heavy, development-light credential, like the
other MCSE certs."
Even so, Jones placed the MCDBA at number four on his personal top 10 list.
"With SQL Server becoming more important in more organizations, it's an
credential that will likely start to see growth soon," he remarked.
#7 (TIE): Certified Information Systems Security Professional (CISSP), Microsoft
Certified Systems Engineer: Exchange (MCSE: Messaging)
Vendor: International
Information Systems Security Certification Consortium [(ISC)2], Microsoft
Reader Interest Score: 11, 14
Buzz Score: 8, 5
Total: 19
Security continues to run hot, and with the CISSP maintaining its reputation
as the premier security title, this credential once again earns a place on this
list.
CertCities.com Contributing Editor Greg Neilson placed the CISSP at number
two on his personal top 10 list. "It covers material for experienced security
practitioners and has a tough exam that expects a great level of detail in a
broad range of security areas," he explained.
Contributing Editor Eric Quinn appreciates the title's vendor-neutral approach,
saying it "reflect(s) the vendor neutrality preference I believe exists
in the corporate marketplace."
Now to our other number seven, MCSE: Messaging. Quite frankly, we weren't expecting
this certification to appear just yet, if only because it's been somewhat overshadowed
by the other new credentials Microsoft debuted in 2003 (as you'll see later
in this article). Then came your reader interest score and the ringing endorsements
of our contributing editors.
"I think this exam will do well," commented Jones. "The exams
involved in this cert have always existed, but it's a good track. With the popularity
of Exchange as a messaging system, it's valuable for IT pros to be able to define
themselves as a messaging specialist."
Barkl agreed that the certification fills a real need for network professionals:
"Microsoft Exchange servers are everywhere these days, and they are often
mismanaged and misunderstood for all they can offer and support."
Quinn said that despite favoring a Linux surge next year, he thinks this Windows
messaging title will do well. "As much as I believe that it won't take
much for Linux to take bigger bites out of the Windows server market, that really
only applies toward file, print and Web services," he explained. "I
think e-mail is the current 'killer app' of almost any network, meaning that
its removal will greatly impact how usable users view the network. Given its
importance, I don't think that any e-mail certification is out of place here,
especially a Microsoft-based cert."
We get the message.
#6: Microsoft Certified Desktop Support Technician (MCDST)
Vendor: Microsoft
Reader Interest Score: 14
Buzz Score: 6
Total: 20
Now, here's a Microsoft title we did expect to see. Jones calls MCDST "the
most important certification of 2003," explaining, "With this cert,
Microsoft has finally achieved a three-tier support staff that incorporates
the help desk, administrator and designer/engineer."
"The MCDST opens up the world of Microsoft certification to what has perhaps
been the largest and most overlooked segment of our industry," he continued.
"Companies with a heavy investment in Microsoft products can now look for
certifications at every level of their IT department, ensuring a minimal level
of knowledge and expertise across the Microsoft product line."
Neilson also gives the MCDST high praise, placing it at number four on his
personal list. "I expect that there will be a rapid take-up of the MCDST
certification," he said. "The medium-term outlook for IT careers is
somewhat uncertain at the moment, so I think that those in early stages of their
IT career will be wanting to differentiate themselves from the pack."
Barkl remarked that the title's accessibility is exactly what will make the
uptake so rapid. "The MCDST will be popular this year just because it's
a new Microsoft certification and only requires the candidate pass two exams,"
he stated.
#5: Red Hat Certified Engineer
Vendor: Red Hat
Reader Interest Score: 14
Buzz Score: 7
Total: 21
While other Linux certifications have fallen off the list this year, RHCE is
holding strong thanks to its hands-on lab exam and the popularity of Red Hat's
products.
Quinn places it at the top of his personal list because he sees newfound corporate
appeal for the title. "IBM managed to get a version of Linux C2 certified
this year. While this doesn't mean that Red Hat's version is also C2 (the certification
is achieved on a per vendor, per configuration basis), the Red Hat certification
is the biggest one for Linux and I don't think that many hiring managers will
understand the difference. I know that there are many people in U.S. that would
love to be able to use one or another flavor of Linux for various projects,
and the NSA certifications mean a lot."
Bersinic also thinks the RHCE will do well next year, stating: "The RHCE
is still strong because Red Hat is the top player in the market." However,
he cautioned that, "Novell buying SuSE may cut into that lead."
#4: Cisco Certified Network Professional (CCNP)
Vendor: Cisco Systems
Reader Interest Score: 16
Buzz Score: 6
Total: 22
Sure, Cisco's entry-level CCNA dropped off this list after two years running,
but only because so many of you achieved the title during 2003. With the CCNP
being the next certification for most, it makes sense that CCNP retains such
high reader interest. Cisco's constant refreshing of the exams, including adding
more hands-on simulation questions, doesn't hurt the title's appeal.
Most every contributing editor placed the CCNP somewhere on their personal
top 10 list, although Barkl pointed out, "The unfortunate fact is many
candidates give up before achieving this goal. Perhaps they believe the hype
and think they should have a cushy network job just because they have passed
one test, the CCNA. There's always more to learn!"
#2 (TIE): Cisco Certified Internetwork Engineer (CCIE), Security+
Vendor: Cisco, Computing Technology Industry
Association (CompTIA)
Reader Interest Score: 15, 17
Buzz Score: 9, 7
Total: 24
Let's start with Security+. Although many of you obtained this title in 2003,
even more of you said you'll be adding it to your resume next year, allowing
it to retain its number two spot.
Security+ ranks is Neilson's top pick 2004 because, "it covers general
topics that are applicable for all of us working in IT."
Barkl also gives the title high praise:"Security designations are still
in high demand by certification candidates. The CompTIA Security+ certification
is becoming more and more popular as time goes by. As an intro level security
certification, it requires a baseline of knowledge to expand from."
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Every year,
a few titles miss making the Top 10 by just a few points. To give
them their due, here are the top five runners-up for 2004.
- Microsoft
Certified Systems Administrator: Security (MCSA: Security)
- Cisco Certified
Security Professional (CCSP)
- CompTIA Linux+
- SANS Global
Information Assurance Certification (GIAC)
- Check Point
Certified Security Administrator (CCSA)
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Although not all of our contributors agree. Jones said he thinks Security+ is "a little too simplistic. The cert will likely do well simply
because of the CompTIA name, but I think the treatment of security as an entry-level
topic is probably misleading."
Now we come to last year's winner, Cisco's CCIE. Because of its grueling, hands-on
lab exam, the CCIE continues to be one of the (if not the) most respected
IT certifications, and its buzz score reflects that. However, the reader interest
score dipped just enough for next year to force this leader to settle for second
place.
Not that this makes the title any less desirable. "Cisco CCIE certification
hasn't lost any ground," commented Barkl. "It's considered a top level
achievement and is still respected by those who have it, and those who don't."
#1: MCSE: Security
Vendor: Microsoft
Reader Interest Score: 18
Buzz Score: 7
Total: 25
When Microsoft announced this title in June, it wasn't without some controversy.
While most everyone was glad to see the company release a security-specific
title, some were hoping for a more rigorous credential, rather than a specialization
that simply requires MCSE candidates select two security exams as part of their
electives.
The mixed reaction is reflected in the comments of our contributing editors.
"For the Microsoft world, the MCSE: Security is an important one. This
means that any MCSE out there better get this one on their resume ASAP,"
said Bersinic.
But others aren't so sure. Jones, for one, said he is "not a fan...mainly
because it brings together separate exams rather than creating new content."
"If Microsoft wants to play in the enterprise security world," he
continued, "it needs a cert that tests at a higher level for the 'minimally
qualified candidate'; I don't think the world at large wants a Microsoft security
certification that's designed for a person with only one year of experience."
Even with some detractors, MCSE: Security's accessibility combined with your
massive reader interest score is just enough to earn it the title of Hottest
Certification for 2004. And we think it's an accurate prediction. As Neilson
put it, "MCSE: Security will grow quickly since new folks who are already
working toward their MCSE will likely choose their electives accordingly to
get this specialization."
So there it is: Our picks for the top 10 hottest certifications of 2004. Be
sure to let us know your predictions by posting below!